000 FZPN03 KNHC 142331 AAA HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC SAT JUL 14 2012 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W. ...UPDATED HURRICANE STRENGTH AND POSITION... SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 14. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 15. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 16. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE FABIO AT 16.4N 115.4W 972 MB AT 2300 UTC JUL 14 MOVING W OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 90 GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE ...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 17.0N 118.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 75 GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 18.6N 120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 21.0N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 23.5N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 25.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA AT 15.5N 132.9W 997 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 14 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.5N 137.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.2N 143.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 148.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 153.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 112W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 113W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 330 NM NW AND 240 NM NE QUADRANTS AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...FROM 15N TO 20N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. .ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 26N W OF 133W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 127W NE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT JUL 14... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM W AND 60 NM E SEMICIRCLES. .HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTEND FROM 09N83W TO 1088W TO 07N99W TO 09N105W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 07N131W TO BEYOND 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 300 NM S OF AXIS FROM 90W TO 93W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.