000
FZPN03 KNHC 141522
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 14 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 16.2N 114.2W 978 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 14
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 16.8N 117.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 18.2N 119.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
150 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 20.5N 121.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 23.0N
121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 25.0N 
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.5N 131.3W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
14 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.5N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.5N
142.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.5N
147.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.5N
153.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.5N
159.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK SIZE AND 
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 113W AND 126W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 330 NM 
NW QUADRANTS AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 330 
NM NW AND 240 NM NE QUADRANTS AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...FROM 15N 
TO 20N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 

.N OF 20N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 26N W OF 135W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N W OF 127W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT JUL 14...

.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM SW AND 
30 NM NE SEMICIRCLES.

.HURRICANE FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 07.581W TO 10N89W TO 
08N103W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N130W TO BEYOND 05N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 02N E OF 85W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 129 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 88W AND 93W. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.