000
FZPN03 KNHC 132148
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
..HURRICANE FABIO AT 15.6N 111.4W 986 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 13 
MOVING W-NW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 
85 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 80 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...60 NM NW QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...220 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 16.5N 114.3W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 75 GUSTS 90 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 
32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 17.3N 117.1W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 19.0N 119.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 21.5N 120.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 24.0N 
120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA AT 15.5N 127.2W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 13 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 
55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.8N 132.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.8N 
138.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.5N 
144.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 
150.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 15.0N 
155.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK SIZE AND 
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM EXCEPT 210 NM 
NE QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM NE QUADRANT  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN S 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES  WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM 
EXCEPT 420 NM NE QUADRANT  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM EXCEPT 180 NM 
NW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER  
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 90 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER  WINDS TO 33 
KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 S 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.

.W OF 28N W OF 125W  NE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 20N W OF 125W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 23N W OF 137W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC FRI JUL 13...

.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL STORM FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLE.  SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N101W AND RESUMES 
FROM 12N119W TO 06N130W THEN ITCZ AXIS TO BEYOND 04N140W.  
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF N AND 120 NM 
S OF AXIS FROM 87W TO 92W.  ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM S OF 
AXIS FROM 121W TO 126W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.