000
FZPN03 KNHC 122153
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU JUL 12 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EMILIA AT 15.1N 122.4W 965 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 12 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 90 GUSTS 
110 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM 
NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.4N 126.3W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 85 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 
30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 15.9N 131.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WIND 
WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 136.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 
141.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 
145.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
TROPICAL STORM FABIO AT 14.2N 108.3W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 12 
MOVING W-NW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 
55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 15.6N 110.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN 
AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 16.4N 113.6W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 85 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREAS OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 
24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 17.5N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 19.5N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO NEAR 22.0N 119.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM EXCEPT 270 NM 
SE QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
480 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 
210 NM  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM 
OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 
150 NM  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NW 
AND 180 SE SEMICIRCLES  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 12 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM  WINDS TO 33 
KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.

.N OF 27N FROM 124W TO 135W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 25N W OF 135W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU JUL 12...

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM E 
AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES .

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS 
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 11N99W AND FROM 12N118W TO 
05N131W THEN ITCZ EXTENDS TO BEYOND 06N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS E OF 90W.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 
NM S OF AXIS FROM 118W TO 126W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.