000
FZPN03 KNHC 121558
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 12 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 12
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 13
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 14

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.1N 121.4W 960 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 12 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE 
...160 NM SE...140 NM SW...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 
36 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.5N 125.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE AND 70 NM SW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 140 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE...90 NM SE... 
120 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 
141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 
146.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 13.6N 107.3W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
12 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
75 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 15.0N 109.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 16.0N 112.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FABIO NEAR 17.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 19.0N 117.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO NEAR 21.5N 118.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM EXCEPT 300 NM 
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
480 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 150 
NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NW 
AND 180 SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N125W TO 21N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU JUL 12...

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM E 
AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM FABIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N77W TO 13N100W...AND FROM 
09N121W TO 06N130W. ITCZ FROM 06N130W TO 05N134W TO 07N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH E OF 95W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF TROUGH E OF 124W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.