000
FZPN03 KNHC 120302
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 12 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
HURRICANE EMILIA AT 15.0N 119.1W 962 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 12 
MOVING W-NW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 100 
GUSTS 120 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 80 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.7N 122.8W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 85 GUSTS 105 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 16.5N 127.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREAS OF STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.0N 132.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA NEAR 17.5N 138.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA NEAR 17.5N 143.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER  
EXCEPT 450 NM SE QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM SE QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.   
SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT  
IN MIXED SWELL.

.LOW PRES AT 13N104W 1005 MB.  WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS 
OF CENTER  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N106W 1003 MB.  WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT  WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N109W 1001 MB.  WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 13 FT.

.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL AT 15.4N 141.5W 1006 MB MOVING W AT 14 
KT.  FROM 15N TO 18N  E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 14 FT IN SE 
SWELL.  ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 132W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 12 FT IN SE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.06 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 28N FROM 126W TO 133W  N TO NE WINDS 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.  ELSEWHERE N OF 26N FROM 122W TO 
130W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 22N W OF 126W  NE WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 
10 FT IN MIXED N AND SE SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC THU JUL 12...

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER.

.LOW PRES AT 13N104W  NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM 
W SEMICIRCLE.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 11N100W... 
THEN RESUMES FROM 09N121W TO 05N130W THEN ITCZ TO BEYOND 
08N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS E OF 85W.  
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 122W TO 124W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.