000
FZPN03 KNHC 111626
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 11 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 14.6N 117.3W 970 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 11 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.5N 120.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 32 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 16.5N 125.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER 240 NM NE...90 NM SE...120 NM SW AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.0N 130.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA NEAR 17.5N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA NEAR 17.5N 140.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.4N 141.2W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
11 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS W OF AREA.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER  
EXCEPT 450 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 210 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 360 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 
300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 23N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE OF DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 23N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N103W 1005 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N105W 1003 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N107W 1000 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 13 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W N TO NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 22N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED JUL 11...

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH 09N79W TO 09N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N103W. 
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N117W TO 07N125W...THEN ITCZ TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 04N E OF 81W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 135 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W 
AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
LOW NEAR 12N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 120W AND 128W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.