000
FZPN03 KNHC 110322
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED JUL 11 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EMILIA AT 14.4N 115.6W 967 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 11 
MOVING W-NW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 95 
GUSTS 115 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 80 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.1N 118.6W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 80 GUSTS 100 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 16.0N 122.4W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT IN AREAS 
OF STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.0N 126.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.7N 132.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA NEAR 18.0N 137.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL AT 15.4N 138.3W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 
11 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 15 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 
GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.5N 
143.6W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.5N 
149.6W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.0N 
156.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 119W  WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 
210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  
SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.  
SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM N AND 90 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 
12N TO 22N W OF 132W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.  ELSEWHERE S OF 25N W OF 125W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 135W  E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN SE SWELL.  ELSEWHERE S OF 23N W OF 130W  
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS 9 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES AT 11N102W 1006 MB MOVING W-NW 10 KT.  WITHIN 120 NM 
NE QUADRANT  E TO SE WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N105W 1005 MB.  WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N108W 1003 MB.  WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.  
SEAS TO 12 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO  E WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE. 

.30 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 26N FROM 122W TO 134W  N TO NE WINDS 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 25N FROM 125W TO 138W  NE WINDS 20 KT.  
SEAS TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC WED JUL 11...

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N96W TO LOW PRES AT 11N102W AND 
CONTINUES FROM 09N118W TO 06N125W TO 07N130W.  SCATTERED  
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS FROM 96W TO 98W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.