000
FZPN03 KNHC 100944
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 13.5N 113.0W 945 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 10 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT 
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 14.6N 116.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 43 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 15.5N 120.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...
150 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 16.3N 123.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.1N 128.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.7N 134.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.4N 133.7W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 
10 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 15.5N 139.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...
45 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL NEAR 15.5N 145.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
SHIFTED W OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.4N 
151.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL NEAR 15.2N 
157.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DANIEL DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM E AND 210 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES OF EMILIA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 117W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SW QUADRANT OF EMILIA WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 23N BETWEEN 109W 
AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX 
OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS OF EMILIA 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 130W LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM N AND 120 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES OF DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 24N W OF 127W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF 
DANIEL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 
24N W OF 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFT W OF AREA.

.N OF 28N E OF 120W TO COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NW TO 
N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N99.5W 1007 MB MOVING WNW AT 7 KT. FROM 12N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
11.5N102W 1004 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND SW QUADRANT OF 
LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
14N105W 1000 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.FROM 10.5N TO 12N E OF 89W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 06N W OF 110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE 
AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 06N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W AND S OF 06N W 
OF 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 126W AND 132W N TO NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE JUL 10...

.HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM E AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.HURRICANE EMILIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60-75 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 
FROM 13N110W TO 09N107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 10N84W TO 09N90W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
10.5N99.5W 1007 MB. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS 
EXTENDS FROM 08N136W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG S OF MONSOON TROUGH TO 05N BETWEEN 82W AND 86W. SIMILAR 
CONVECTION IS FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 87W AND 95W. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.