000
FZPN03 KNHC 160916 RRA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT JUN 16 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 16.6N 98.4W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN 16 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA INLAND NEAR 17.1N
99.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA INLAND NEAR 17.6N 
99.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 17.7N 
100.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 17.4N
100.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 17.4N
99.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 17.4N
99.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE OF CARLOTTA WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 14N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 106W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N112W 1008 MB STATIONARY. WITHIN 360 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 360 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. FROM 06N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 07N TO 24N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 121W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.N OF 28N FROM 120W TO 131W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. FROM 17N TO 28N W OF 125W NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 125W AND FROM 20N TO 25N W OF 
130W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN N SWELL. 
ELSEHWERE NW OF LINE 30N120W TO 13N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W TO 18N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 125W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT JUN 16...

.NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CARLOTTA. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N TO 09N E OF 82W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 19N110W TO 1008 MB LOW 14N112W TO 02N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEM 107W 
AND 111W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.