000
FZPN03 KNHC 151543
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI JUN 15 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA AT 14.0N 96.0W 985 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN 15 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 
85 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...60 NM NW QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR COAST NEAR 15.9N 
97.8W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 85 GUSTS 105 KT.  TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH  
SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR COAST NEAR 16.6N 
99.5W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR COAST NEAR 16.5N 
100.0W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.0N 99.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.0N 99.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 
NM W SEMICIRCLE  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 
12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 90 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 
12 FT.

.LOW PRES AT 14N111W 1008 MB DRIFT NW.  WITHIN 360 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES NEAR 15N112W 1007 MB.  WITHIN 300 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES NEAR 16N113W 1009 MB WITH TROUGH TO 
06N127W.  WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS  
TO 10 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM SE OF TROUGH  S TO SW WINDS 
20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.

.N OF 27N FROM 120W TO 130W  NW TO N WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT 
IN NW SWELL.  FROM 18N TO 24N W OF 128W  NE WINDS 20 KT.  SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 25N FROM 120W TO 135W  NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.  FROM 17N TO 25N W OF 127W  NE WINDS 
20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 20N W OF 128W  NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.  ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W OF 126W  NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI JUN 15...

.NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER OF CARLOTTA. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 13N90W THEN FROM 14N104W TO 
15N108W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB AT 14N111W TO 06N128W TO 07N140W.  
ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 124W-133W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.