000
FZPN03 KNHC 141510
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUN 14 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 10.9N 93.6W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC 
JUN 14 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 13.3N 95.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR COAST NEAR 15.6N
97.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR COAST NEAR 16.5N
99.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR COAST NEAR 16.5N
100.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.0N 100.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM NE 
AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM E 
AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CARLOTTA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N109W 1007 MB MOVING W 10 KT. FROM 07N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 106W AND 112W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N113W 1007 MB. FROM 08N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 114W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N114W 1007 MB. FROM 07N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 115W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 10N TO 
13N BETWEEN 108W AND 113W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT N SWELL. FROM 12N TO 23N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 132W NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITH N SWELL. FROM 17N TO 25N W OF 
130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N W OF 122W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL...HIGHEST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 
126W. FROM 16N TO 20N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC THU JUN 14...

.NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
OF CARLOTTA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
300 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 11N87W THEN RESUMES W OF T.S. 
CARLOTTA AT 09N98W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N109W 1007 MB TO 07N135W.  
ITCZ FROM 07N135W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 106W AND 113W...AND FROM 10N TO 
11.5N BETWEEN 116W AND 121W.
 
$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.