000
FZPN03 KNHC 242110 RRA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU MAY 24 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU MAY 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI MAY 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT MAY 26.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BUD NEAR 16.4N 106.4W 962 MB AT 2100 UTC MAY 24 
MOVING NE OR 035 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 18.6N 105.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD INLAND NEAR 20.5N 105.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD OVER WATER NEAR 19.5N
105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 19.0N
105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 
270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WINDS TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF HURRICANE BUD WINDS TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WINDS TO 33 
KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 15 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 115W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 118W AND 125W NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT IN N SWELL. N OF 28N W OF 125W N 
TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W 
AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N W OF 130W NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1800 UTC THU MAY 24...

.HURRICANE BUD...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF BUD.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM PANAMA AT 08N78W TO 09N85W TO 13N92W. 
MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES FROM 12N110W TO 07N125W. ITCZ AXIS 
EXTENDS FROM 07N125W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED CONVECTION WITHIN 60 
NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 77W AND 87W. 

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 01N 
TO 04N E OF 81W...AND FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 85W AND 93W.

$$
.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.