000
FZPN03 KNHC 222131
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE MAY 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED MAY 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU MAY 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 12.0N 105.0W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC MAY 22
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE
...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 13.5N 107.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND
70 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 15.4N 106.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 17.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 18.5N 105.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 18.0N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...180 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM BUD 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE 
QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL
STORM BUD WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 13N98W INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 103W E WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 119W AND 127W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
FROM 14N TO 26N W OF 127W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 118W AND 127W NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...HIGHEST N OF 28N. NW OF LINE FROM 
20N127W TO 12N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 127W NW TO N WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST N OF 28N. NW 
OF LINE FROM 21N127W TO 14N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT N TO 
NE N OF 28N BETWEEN 127W AND 130W. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC TUE MAY 22...

.TROPICAL STORM BUD...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM 
NW AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 101W AND 106W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF LINE THAT MARKS A BAND FROM 11N96W TO 13N100W TO 
14N103W.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 
93W AND 96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 06N87W TO 12N96W WHERE
IT ENDS. IT RESUMES FROM 10N108W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N115W
AND TO 06N125W. THE ITCZ THEN EXTENDS FROM 06N125W TO BEYOND THE 
AREA AT 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
30 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 114W AND 117W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.