000
FZPN03 KNHC 211540
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON MAY 21 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON MAY 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE MAY 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED MAY 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E NEAR 9.2N 101.0W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC 
MAY 21 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWO-E NEAR 10.6N 103.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 12.9N 105.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 15.0N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 17.0N 104.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWO-E INLAND NEAR 19.0N
103.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...GALE WARNING...
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 14N96.5W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 
TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING... 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM SE QUADRANT OF CENTER SW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TWO-E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 310 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM N 
AND 150 NM S OF HURRICANE TWO-E  WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 
FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO 14N96.5W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 96.5W AND 101W E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 60 NM OF 
LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N97.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 97.5W AND 103W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 60 NM OF 
LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N97.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 97.5W AND 104W E TO SE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
13.5N97.5W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 97.5W 
AND 105W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 27.5N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N FROM 118W TO 125W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 19N TO 25N W OF 125W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS 20 KT W OF 135W. SEAS TO 8 FT
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N FROM 118W TO 130W N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. FROM 17N TO 26N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON MAY 21...

.SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG OCCURRING IN BANDS 
WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF T.D. TWO-E.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 07.5N76W TO 08N89W...WHERE IT HAS 
SEVERED FROM REST OF TROUGH...THEN RESUMES FROM NEAR 12.5N93W TO 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E AT 9.2N101.0W TO 07N107W TO 
06.5N117W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 
06N129W TO BEYOND 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 180 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 89W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N 
AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 92W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 150 NM OF S TROUGH AXIS 
BETWEEN 103W AND 112W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.