000
FZPN03 KNHC 210935
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON MAY 21 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON MAY 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE MAY 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED MAY 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E AT 09.4N 100.1W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC 
MAY 21 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 5 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 
GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM TWO-E NEAR 10.5N 101.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF 35 KT 
WINDS WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 12.7N 104.0W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 15.0N 104.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 85 GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 17.0N 104.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 85 GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE TWO-E NEAR 19.0N 103.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM 
OF TROPICAL STORM TWO-E  WINDS TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM 
N AND 150 NM S OF HURRICANE TWO-E  WINDS TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 14N96W INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 
12N103W INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N95W TO 13N99W TO 
12N103W INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT.  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 29N FROM 118W TO 124W  NW TO N WINDS 20 
KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  FROM 20N TO 24N W OF 135W  NE WINDS 
20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 27N FROM 118W TO 130W  NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.  FROM 17N TO 24N W OF 130W  NE WINDS 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON MAY 21...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 12N94W TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
TWO-E AT 09.3N99.9W TO 06N121W THEN ITCZ TO 06N129W TO BEYOND 
03N140W.  ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH AXIS E OF 98W.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.