000
FZPN03 KNHC 231530
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED NOV 23 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 12.6N 117.3W 978 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 23 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 
75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 13.8N 120.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 
180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 14.6N 124.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 75 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KENNETH NEAR 15.0N 129.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KENNETH NEAR 16.0N 
135.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 14N96W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 14N96W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KENNETH WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM NW AND 240 
NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KENNETH WARNING...WITHIN 
270 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KENNETH WARNING...WITHIN 
240 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.COLD FRONT FROM 29N137W TO 29N140W. W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. N OF 26N E OF FRONT TO 132W. SW 
WINDS WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N122W TO 24N130W
THEN WEAKENING TO 22N140W. W OF FRONT TO 132W NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT N 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 26N WITHIN 120 
NM E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN W 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 27N110W TO 
20N120W. W OF FRONT TO 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 120W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST
BETWEEN 126W AND 133W.

.ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 21N W OF 113W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 20N W OF 110W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT W OF 120W. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN 
MIXED N AND S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 20N W OF 127W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED N SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W
AND 127W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED N AND S 
SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO
10N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 45 NM OF 
LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 14N96W TO 13N97W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 75 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W TO 13N97W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 97W 
AND 104W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 60 NM OF 
LINE 16N94.5W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 108W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC WED NOV 23...
.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15 N BETWEEN 114W 
AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N85W TO 09N94W TO 07N103W TO 
10N110W. 
THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N120W TO 07N130W TO 07N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE 06N TO 10 N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W...AND FROM 
06N TO 09N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.