000
FZPN03 KNHC 220331
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE NOV 22 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU NOV 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 13.0N 111.8W 973 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 22 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 105 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 
NM SE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 13.1N 115.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 105 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 14.0N 118.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 29 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 15.0N 121.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.5N 126.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KENNETH NEAR 16.0N 
132.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER OF 
KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM NW 
AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 390 NM OF 
CENTER OF KENNETH...EXCEPT 330 NM SW QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.N OF 21N W OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW 
TO N SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 29N121W. FROM 12N TO 21N W OF 116W NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES 
AND NW SWELL. FROM 08N TO 12N W OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W AND A LINE FROM 30N115W 
TO 21N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. 
FROM 12N TO 19N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 20N W 
OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 18N W OF 123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N86W 
TO 10N90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N TO 27N NW TO N 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 24N TO 30N NW TO N 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT APPROACHING AREA FROM NW. W OF A 
LINE FROM 30N133W TO 28N140W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N136W TO 28N140W. W OF FRONT 
W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT IN NW SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 30N129W TO 26N140W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N127W TO 26N134W TO 25N140W. 
W OF FRONT TO 138W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT 
IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 12 
TO 17 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 26N WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. S OF 26N WITHIN 180 NM 
E OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE NOV 22...
.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER OF KENNETH. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OF KENNETH...EXCEPT 240 NM N QUADRANT.

.TROUGH FROM 12N138W TO 08N140W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 135W AND 139W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 10N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR 07.5N92W TO 
11N104W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 
10N113W TO 07N122W TO 08N128W THEN RESUMES FROM 08N130W TO 
09N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH 
BETWEEN 94W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N 
TO 13N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.