000
FZPN03 KNHC 211527
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON NOV 21 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 12.7N 109.6W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 21
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 13.0N 113.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 270 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SE 
QUADRANT...WITH SEAS TO 33 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 13.4N 117.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 270 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 14.4N 120.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.2N 124.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.5N 127.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER OF 
KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM 
NW AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM 
NW AND 240 SE NM SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.N OF 28W E OF 117W W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. N OF 26N 
BETWEEN 122W AND 134W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT IN 
NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 113W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N W OF 112W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND N SWELL. FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 115W 
AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW TO N SWELL. FROM 
10N TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 122W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN NW TO N SWELL.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 14N95W... INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 22N TO 28N NW WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 30N NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 25N TO 29N NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. WINDS AND SEAS 
LOWER AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. WINDS AND 
SEAS LOWER AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. 

.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N W OF 137W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N135W TO 28N140W. 
N OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 27N W OF 130W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC MON NOV 21...
.HURRICANE KENNETH...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OF 
KENNETH. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N 
TO 17N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERS COSTA RICA TO 07N93W TO 
09N99W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE BEGINS THERE AND 
CONTINUES TO 12N104W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 10N111W TO 
08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM S OF 
THE ITCZ W OF 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.