000 FZPN03 KNHC 210933 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC MON NOV 21 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON NOV 21. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 22. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 23. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 12.3N 108.4W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 21 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...55 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...55 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 12.6N 110.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 12.8N 112.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 13.0N 116.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 14.3N 120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.2N 123.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.9N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER OF KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 102W AND 114W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER OF KENNETH EXCEPT 420 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM N AND 240 S NM SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER OF KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 20N BETWEEN 108W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. .COLD FRONT FROM 30N117W TO 26N124W THEN DISSIPATING TO 28N140W. W OF FRONT TO 127W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT MOVED E OF AREA AND DISSIPATED. FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 118W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 111W AND 124W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 20N116W TO 11N130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 11N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. N OF 20N W OF 114W TO LINE FROM 30N132W TO 27N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 122W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W... INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N TO 28N NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 29N NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N86W TO 10.5N89W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N137W TO 28N140W. WITHIN 120 NM SE OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0915 UTC MON NOV 21... .TROPICAL STORM KENNETH...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER OF KENNETH AND FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 109W AND 110W. SCATTERED STRONG MARKING A THE MAIN BANDING FEATURE IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 13N109W TO 15N109W TO 16N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 12N104W TO 14N105W TO 15N108W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHER COSTA RICA TO 08N92W TO 11N98W. IT THEN RESUMES NEAR 10N108W TO 09N115W WHERE LOW LEVEL WINDS INDICATE THAT THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 09N122W TO 08N130W. IT THEN RESUMES AT 09N134W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE TROUGH BETWEEN 111W AND 115W AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE ITCZ W OF 135W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.