000
FZPN03 KNHC 210323
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON NOV 21 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 12.2N 107.0W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC 
NOV 21 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 12.9N 111.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 12.9N 113.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 13.1N 115.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 14.0N 119.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 15.5N 122.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 16.5N 125.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...420 
NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER OF KENNETH 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER OF KENNETH EXCEPT 420 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 120W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER OF 
KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N 
TO 20N BETWEEN 108W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N120W TO 26N130W THEN DISSIPATING TO 28N140W. 
W OF FRONT TO 130W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT IN NW 
SWELL. N OF 27N E OF FRONT TO 117W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 
FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 130W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND 
NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA NW OF A LINE FROM 20N116W TO 11N130W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 
120W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES 
AND NW SWELL. FROM 08N TO 11N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL. N OF 20N W OF 114W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 12N TO 20N W 
OF 120W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE WIND 
WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 22N W OF 120W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29.5N SW TO W WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 30N TO 31N SW TO W 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 31N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N TO 29N NW TO N 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA LITTLE CHANGE.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 91W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT APPROACHING AREA. NW OF A LINE FROM 
30N124W TO 28N140W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC MON NOV 21...
.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF KENNETH. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W 
AND 110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 10N86W TO 07N91W TO 10N102W THEN 
RESUMES NEAR 10N108W TO 09N115W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE 
ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N115W TO 07N127W TO 09N132W THEN 
RESUMES FROM 09N134W TO 09N140W. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 108W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 130W AND 133W. SIMILAR 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ W OF 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.