000
FZPN03 KNHC 202156
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN NOV 20 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN NOV 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON NOV 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE NOV 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 11.5N 105.6W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC 
NOV 20 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 12.3N 109.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 12.5N 114.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KENNETH NEAR 13.1N 118.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 14.1N 121.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KENNETH NEAR 14.8N 125.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE QUADRANTS 
AND 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 105W AND 127W 
SE TO S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 NM SW AND 390 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER OF 
KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N 
TO 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 117W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM NE 
QUADRANT...210 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 390 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
CENTER OF KENNETH WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 06N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N123W TO 28N133W THEN DISSIPATING TO 30N140W. 
W OF FRONT TO 133W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT IN NW 
SWELL. N OF 29N E OF FRONT TO 120W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 12 TO 13 
FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF A LINE FROM 30N116W TO 
20N118W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 29N115W TO 25N120W 
TO 23N130W. N OF 20N W OF 113W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
13 FT IN NW TO N SWELL...HIGHEST N OF 26N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 20N W OF 112W...
EXCEPT NW OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 22N140W...WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 30N TO 31N SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 30N TO 31N SW TO W 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 31N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N TO 28N NW TO N 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS T0 9 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 117W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 08N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO 
N SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N86W 
TO 10N90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 91W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT NOV 19...
.TROPICAL STORM KENNETH...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF KENNETH. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
90-180 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS OF KENNETH.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 10N86W TO 08N92W TO 09N96W. THE 
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N96W TO 
11N102W THEN RESUMES FROM 09N107W TO 08N125W TO 09N129W THEN 
RESUMES FROM 10N132W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM 
N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 08N 
TO 10 BETWEEN 127W AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.