000
FZPN03 KNHC 201516
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN NOV 20 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN NOV 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E NEAR 10.6N 104.7W 1005 MB AT 
1500 UTC NOV 20 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 11.6N 109.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN THE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 11.7N 113.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 23 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE THIRTEEN-E NEAR 12.0N 117.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 13.0N 121.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 13.8N 125.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 
104W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF OF TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM 
NW AND 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N128W TO 29N135W. N OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 116W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 29N115W TO 27N117W. N OF FRONT 
NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W 
OF 113W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL 
EXCEPT 11 TO 14 FT N OF 27N BETWEEN 120W AND 136W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 20N W OF 112W TO A LINE 
FROM 30N129W TO 25N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN NW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF 
OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 129W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 122W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN IN MIXED NW AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 117W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW AND NE SWELL.

.42 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 28N NW WINDS 20 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1415 UTC SAT NOV 19...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 107W. 
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 107W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO 08N90W TO 
09N95W WHERE IT ENDS. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE BEGINS 
AT 08N108W AND CONTINUES TO 09N120W TO 10N129W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 
108W AND 110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N AND 120 NM S 
OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 129W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.