000
FZPN03 KNHC 200941
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN NOV 20 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON NOV 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E NEAR 10.4N 103.7W 1005 MB AT
0900 UTC NOV 20 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 11.4N 107.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...45 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 11.8N 112.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 21 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE THIRTEEN-E NEAR 11.9N 116.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE THIRTEEN-E NEAR 12.6N 120.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E NEAR 13.5N 124.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 
103W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF OF TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 NM 
NW AND 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN-E
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.COLD FRONT APPROACHING AREA W OF 127W. N OF 29N BETWEEN 119W AND
124W SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 20N W OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW 
TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N119W TO 26N126W
THEN DISSIPATING TO 26N140W. N OF 20N W OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL EXCEPT 10 TO 14 FT
N OF 27N BETWEEN 122W AND 133W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT MOVED E OF AREA AND DISSIPATED. N OF
20N W OF 118W TO A LINE FROM 30N131W TO 26N140W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 14N95W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 129W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 122W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 117W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.42 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 28N NW WINDS 20 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT NOV 19...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM 
NE AND 120 NM SE QUADRANTS OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N103W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY DENOTES A 
DEVELOPING OUTER RAIN BAND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N104W 
TO 12.5N106W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO WEAK LOW
PRES NEAR 08N89W 1010 MB AND CONTINUES TO 09N96W WHERE IT ENDS.
LOW LEVEL WINDS INDICATE THAT THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 
BEGINS AT 08N112W AND CONTINUES TO 09N120W TO 10N129W TO 09N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF
08N106W 08N113W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.