000
FZPN03 KNHC 190939
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT NOV 19 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON NOV 21.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 9.5N98W 1006 MB MOVING W AT 08 KT. FROM 09.5N TO 
13N BETWEEN 95W AND 101W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT. FROM 04N TO 09.5N BETWEEN 92W AND 98W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
10N102W 1006 MB. WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 96W 
AND 104W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
11N105W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W
S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT NE TO E FROM 11N TO 15N. SEAS 
TO 9 FT.

.N OF 28N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW 
TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT APPROACHING N PORTION OF AREA. N OF
28N BETWEEN 126W AND 134W W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT
IN NW TO N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 117W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N127W TO 28N140W.
N OF 28N WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 
FT IN NW SWELL. W OF FRONT TO 135W W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 11 
TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 117W WINDS LESS
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL...HIGHEST N 
CENTRAL PORTION.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N119W 
TO 25N126W. N OF 27N WITHIN 120 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. W OF FRONT TO 126W NW TO N WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 115W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL 
EXCEPT 10 TO 14 FT N OF 25N BETWEEN 126W AND 135W.

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W...
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 90 NM FROM COAST
N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 11N TO 24N W OF 127W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 21N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 131W AND FROM 13N TO 19N 
BETWEEN 121W AND 131W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0915 UTC SAT NOV 19...
.LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N98W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 08N98W TO 11N96W AND WITHIN 60 NM 
W OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 96W
AND 97W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 08N98W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO 11N92W
TO LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N98W TO 09N107W TO LOW PRES AT 08N114W TO 
08N118W. LOW LEVEL WINDS THEN SUGGEST THAT THE INTERTROPICAL 
CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N118W TO 11N126W THEN 
RESUMES FROM 10N131W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ BETWEEN 131W AND 133W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ BETWEEN
121W AND 131W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN
100W AND 104W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.