000
FZPN03 KNHC 161550
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN AT 14.1N 107.8W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC 
MOVING SW OR 230 DEG AT 4 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 
40 KT.  WITHIN 60 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES  WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT.  SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 14.2N 109.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 14.1N 
109.4W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.  WITHIN 300 NM 
SE QUADRANT  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.FROM 08N TO 13N E OF 96W  SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS 10 
TO 11 FT.  N OF 13N E OF 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... 
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.  S OF 10N FROM 96W 
TO 130W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 08N TO 12N E OF 94W  SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.  N OF 12N E OF 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.  S OF 10N 
FROM 100W TO 125W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PARAGRAPH ABOVE...N OF 08N 
E OF 114W  SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS 9 TO 10 FT.  ELSEWHERE 
FROM 05N TO 15N  BETWEEN 100W TO 122W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  
SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.  

.LOW PRES 1007 MB AT 31N137W DRIFT SE WITH STATIONARY FRONT TO 
20N140W.  NW OF FRONT  W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.  SEAS 9 TO 13 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 30N136W 1010 MB WITH DISSIPATING 
STATIONARY FRONT TO 20N140W.  N OF 16N W OF 130W  WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT.  SEAS TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES N OF AREA WITH DISSIPATING 
STATIONARY FRONT TO 20N140W.  FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 128W  WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN OCT 16...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N110W TO 08N128W TO 11N140W.  
SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 96W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W. 
 
$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.