000 FZPN03 KNHC 160254 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC SUN OCT 16 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 18. .WARNINGS. .NONE. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 14.8N 107.3W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 16 MOVING SSW OR 200 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM W AND 60 NM E SEMICIRCLES OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 115W W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 T IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 14.0N 108.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 118W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W AND S OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 14.2N 109.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 116W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 13.5N 109.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 13.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N94W... INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 06N TO 13N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 13N E OF 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N93W..INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 07N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N93W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 07N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .LOW N OF AREA NEAR 31N138W 1006 MOVING SE 10 KT MB WITH COLD FRONT FROM LOW TO 30N131W TO 21N140W. NW OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 110W AND 117W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 30N135W 1008 MB WITH WEAKENING COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N130W TO 20N135W. W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. NW OF LINE FROM 20N133W TO 16N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA NEAR 32N135W 1010 MB WITH DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N130W TO 23N136W. FROM 12N TO 25N W OF 130W AND N OF 25N W OF 138W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0215 UTC SUN OCT 16... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SW QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N89W TO 12N94W TO 16N97W THEN ACROSS SW MEXICO TO NEAR 17N105W THEN RESUMES SW OF IRWIN FROM 14N108W TO 10N125WW TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO WITHIN 30 NM OF 12N119W. $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.