000 FZPN03 KNHC 152102 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC SAT OCT 15 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 17. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.6N 107.1W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 15 MOVING SSW OR 195 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 14.3N 108.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 14.1N 109.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 14.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 14.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM SW AND 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 118W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W AND S OF 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 116W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W AND S OF 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N94W... INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 06N TO 13N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE E OF 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 12N94W..INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE E OF 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13N93W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 100W AND FROM 06N TO 08N E OF 80W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 05N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .LOW N OF AREA NEAR 31N138W 1006 MOVING SE 10 KT MB WITH COLD FRONT FROM LOW TO 30N133W TO 22N140W. NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 30N136W 1008 MB WITH WEAKENING COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N132W TO 18N140W. W OF FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST N OF AREA NEAR 31N136W 1008 MB WITH DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N131W TO 20N134W. FROM 15N TO 25N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2015 UTC SAT OCT 15... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N89W TO 12N94W TO 16N97W THEN ACROSS SW MEXICO TO NEAR 17N105W THEN RESUMES SW OF IRWIN FROM 14N108W TO 10N125WW TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 94W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 117W AND 121W. $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.