000 FZPN03 KNHC 140955 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC FRI OCT 14 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 14. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 15. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 16. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 18.9N 106.8W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 14 MOVING SSE OR 165 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...0 NM NW QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 17.2N 106.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...30 NM NW QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.7N 107.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM S AND 90 NM N SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA E OF 135W EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW WITH LOW NEAR 10N125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL BETWEEN 110W AND 135W...AND 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL E OF 110W. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM SW AND 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 108W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 20N E OF 130W EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW WITH LOW NEAR 13N120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM SW AND 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 14N E OF 118W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT...HIGHEST E OF 97W. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 20N E OF LINE FROM 20N115W TO 11N124W TO 01N131W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 10N125W 1012 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N120W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N97W TO 14N94W INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N96W TO 12N94W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N93W INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .N OF 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 136W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N137W TO 27N140W. NW OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 134W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA NEAR 33N138W 1008 MB WITH COLD FRONT FROM 30N135W TO 25N140W. NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 127W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES JUST N OF AREA NEAR 31N137W 1006 MB. COLD FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 21N140W. N OF 28N W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITHIN HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF FRONT NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 20N BETWEEN 109W AND 126W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 31N136W 1005 MB WITH ASSOCIATED WEAKENING FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 30N132W TO 18N140W. N OF 26N W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT IN NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 930 UTC FRI OCT 14... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM IN THE E AND 90W NM IN THE W SEMICIRCLES. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1007 MB LOW OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA TO 15N100W WHERE IT ENDS. IT THEN RESUMES WELL TO THE SW OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN FROM 15N122W TO 1012 MB LOW PRES NEAR 10N125W AND TO 08N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 89W AND 98W. SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH...SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 05N83W TO 05N81W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.