000
FZPN03 KNHC 121502
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 12 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JOVA NEAR 20.6N 105.0W 992 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 12
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 270 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 21.5N 
105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT 
NEAR 18N104W.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 16.0N 110.7W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
12 MOVING E NE OR 065 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
75 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 17.5N 106.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 17.1N 103.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT 
WITHIN 30 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 16.0N 103.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 
105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 
108.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE E AT 15.1N 93.6W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC 
OCT 12 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE AND 360 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 
FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE E INLAND AT 15.6N 93.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS TO 14 FT WITHIN 
360 NM S SEMICIRCLE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE E INLAND NEAR 15.9N 
92.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH SEAS TO 12 
FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE E INLAND NEAR 15.9N 
91.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE E WARNING...N OF 
07N BETWEEN 88W AND 98W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 
FT IN MERGING SW AND W SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE  
E WARNING...N OF 09N BETWEEN 88W AND 98W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN MERGING SW AND W SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE  
E WARNING...N OF 09N BETWEEN 88W AND 98W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN MERGING SW AND W SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 11 FT WITH SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 07N BETWEEN 80W AND 
100W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN SW SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA AND IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NW 
OF LINE FROM 21N105W TO 15N115W TO 09N120W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 04N BETWEEN SAME LINE AND 98W S TO 
SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN SW SWELL. REMAINDER 
AREA S OF 09N BETWEEN 83W AND 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA AND IRWIN WARNINGS... 
WITHIN 180 NM NW OF LINE FROM 21N105W TO 13N110W TO LOW PRES 
09N127W 1010 MB...W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N 
OF 07N BETWEEN SAME LINE AND 98W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 15 FT IN SW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA S OF 10N BETWEEN 79W AND 
132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 420 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 300 NM 
SE QUADRANT OF LOW PRES 1010 MB AT 12N125W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA S OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 132W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL. 

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 119W AND 124W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT 
IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 
112W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N138W TO 29N140W. NW OF FRONT NW 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 20N WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXING NE AND NW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 25N TO 30N NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED OCT 12...
.TROPICAL STORM JOVA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 18N TO 
21N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W.

.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 
15.5N111W.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N 
OF 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 97W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS 13N115W TO 08.5N130W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 04N78W AND WITHIN 60 NM 
OF 07N121.5W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.