000
FZPN03 KNHC 120943
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED OCT 12 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 19.9N 105.1W 981 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 12
MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60
NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 0 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 20.7N 105.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 21.0N 105.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN AREA 
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 21.2N
105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.2N 112.3W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
12 MOVING ENE OR 075 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 17.2N 108.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 30 NM N OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 16.8N 104.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 16.0N 104.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 
105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 
107.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E NEAR 14.7N 93.6W 1005 MB AT 0900
UTC OCT 12 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWELVE-E INLAND NEAR 15.7N
93.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
15 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E INLAND NEAR 15.9N
91.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WARNING...FROM 
06N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 14 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
TWELVE-E WARNING...FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 90W AND 99W W WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W W TO NW WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA AND IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 0 NM NE 
QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF JOVA AND WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE 
QUADRANT...150 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 100W AND 123W S OF LINE FROM 
17N100W TO 07N123W TO 04N S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA AND IRWIN 
WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF JOVA AND WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 SW QUADRANT OF IRWIN 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...EXCEPT TO 33 KT NEAR JOVA. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W SW TO W WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 45 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 
107W W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 129W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N E OF 116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 13N W OF 
115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 133W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRES 09N129W 1010 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. 
WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL. REMAINDER AREA W OF 85W TO LINE FROM 22N105W TO 10N130W 
TO 00N130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY 
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 11N124W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM E 
QUADRANT AND 240 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN 
SW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 24N BETWEEN 87W AND 133W 
AND S OF 06N BETWEEN 115W AND 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 25N TO 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N NW TO WINDS 20  
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0815 UTC WED OCT 12...
.HURRICANE JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM N QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 13N117W TO 08N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.