000 FZPN03 KNHC 120249 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC WED OCT 12 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 12. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 13. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 14. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 19.0N 105.2W 973 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 12 MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 20.4N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER WATER WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JOVA NEAR 21.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. .72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.8N 113.3W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 12 MOVING E OR 095 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 16.5N 109.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 17.1N 106.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 16.2N 104.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 240 N NW AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...OVER WATER FROM 18N TO 21N E OF OF 108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...OVER WATER WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 330 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 116W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 08N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT IN SW SWELL. .LOW PRES 13.5N94W 1006 MB MOVING N 5 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. S OF 06N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 16N94W. OVER WATERS WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT WITH SW SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 86W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES INLAND NEAR 17N92W. N OF 08N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT WITH SW SWELL. S OF 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 IN SW SWELL. .N OF 23N BETWEEN 118W AND 128W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 117W AND 131W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 112W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL...HIGHEST SEAS NW PART. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 107W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL...HIGHEST SEAS NEAR 25N126W. .GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 30N NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .30 HOUR GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 30N NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC WED OCT 12... .HURRICANE JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF JOVA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...AN AREA OF NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED BETWEEN 50 AND 150 NM N OF IRWIN. A BAND OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 17N112W TO 15N115W TO 11N115W. .LOW PRES 13N94W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS IS OVER NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA ENTERING THE PACIFIC WATERS NEAR 15N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N94W...THEN RESUMES W OF IRWIN FROM 12N117W TO 08N130W TO 10N140W. ALL SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONES AND LOW PRES AT 13N94W. $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.