000
FZPN03 KNHC 112108
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 11 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 18.3N 105.4W 973 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 11 
MOVING NNE OR 030 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 20.4N 104.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
WATER WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 21.4N
104.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JOVA NEAR 22.2N 
104.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT  
FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.9N 114.2W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
11 MOVING E OR 095 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
30 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 16.1N 110.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 17.3N 107.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN NEAR 16.7N 104.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 16.0N
105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IRWIN NEAR 15.5N
106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 360 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...OVER WATER 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...OVER WATER 
WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...OVER WATER 
WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 300 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 150 
NM NW AND 330 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 120 
NM NW AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. 

.LOW PRES 13N94W 1006 MB MOVING N 5 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW 
CENTER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 14N 
BETWEEN 87W AND 120W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
WITH MIXED S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 15.5N94W. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER 
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 88W AND 120W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT WITH 
SW SWELL. S OF 05N BETWEEN 90W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES INLAND NEAR 17N92W. ELSEWHERE FROM 
08N TO 17N BETWEEN 85W AND 115W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 14 FT WITH SW SWELL. S OF 08N BETWEEN 80W AND 130W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL. 
 
.N OF 23N BETWEEN 118W AND 128W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 117W 
AND 131W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NW 
AND N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 
112W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED 
NW AND N SWELL...HIGHEST SEAS NW PART.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 11 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W 
OF 107W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN 
MIXED NW AND N SWELL...HIGHEST SEAS NEAR 25N126W.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 30N NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 30N NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC TUE OCT 11...
.HURRICANE JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 
150 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. 

.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
120 NM NE AND WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.LOW PRES 13N94W...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM S AND 30 NM N SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS TO 
THE W FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 98W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N87W TO LOW PRES 13N94W...THEN 
RESUMES WEST OF T.S. IRWIN FROM 12N118W TO 09N130W TO 10N135W. 
THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 10N135W TO BEYOND 09N140W. DEEP CONVECTION 
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONES AND LOW PRES PREVIOUSLY 
DESCRIBED.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.