000 FZPN03 KNHC 100936 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC MON OCT 10 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 10. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 11. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 12. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.3N 107.2W 960 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 10 MOVING E OR 085 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 17.3N 105.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 85 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 150 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA INLAND NEAR 19.5N 104.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 22.5N 104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JOVA NEAR 24.5N 104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 14.9N 118.5W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 10 MOVING E OR 085 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 115.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.2N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 16.5N 108.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 17.0N 105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 16.5N 104.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF JOVA AND WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER OF IRWIN EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 124W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 101W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF JOVA AND WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER OF IRWIN EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 97W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF JOVA AND WITHIN 120 NM N AND 240 NM S OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W AND FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N95W 1006 MB DRIFTING E. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 02N TO 11N BETWEEN 85W AND 104W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N94W 1005 MB. WITHIN 75 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 83W AND 101W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 13N93W 1004 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 22N BETWEEN 89W AND 110W AND S OF 08N BETWEEN 94W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL. .FROM 16N TO 25N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .N OF 27N BETWEEN 123W AND 132W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 119W AND 124W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 117W AND FROM 18 TO 23N W OF 135W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NW PART. .18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 23N TO 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0745 UTC MON OCT 10... .HURRICANE JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM EXCEPT 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N AND S QUADRANTS. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N95W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 06N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W. .SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 03N TO 07N. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 11N86W TO 12N91W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N95W THEN CONTINUES FROM 14N121W TO 11N133W TO 09N138W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 09N138W TO 09N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 91W. $$ .FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.