000 FZPN03 KNHC 092141 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC SUN OCT 09 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 09. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 10. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 11. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.2N 107.9W 976 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 09 MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.4N 106.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 85 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 18.2N 104.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 105 NM NE QUADRANT...330 NM SE QUADRANT ...270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 21.1N 104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 23.5N 104.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST...JOVA DISSIPATED. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.2N 119.3W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 09 MOVING ENE OR 065 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.8N 117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 15.4N 113.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 16.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 17.5N 106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 18.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF JOVA...AND WITHIN 180 NM OF EXCEPT 270 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W AND FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 23N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF JOVA...AND WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER OF IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W AND FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 21N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF JOVA AND IRWIN WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W AND FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL...HIGHEST CENTRAL PORTION. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .FROM 18N TO 22N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 23N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. FROM 08N TO 20N W OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 128W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N96W 1006 MB. FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 11N95W 1005 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 04N TO 11N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12.5N93.5W 1005 MB. WITHIN 75 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 85W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN SW SWELL. N OF 12.5N E OF 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N TO 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN OCT 09... .HURRICANE JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 107W AND 115W AND WITHIN 120-180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. .TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120-180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 13N88W TO 1006 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11N96W WHERE THERE IS A BREAK IN THE TROUGH DUE TO THE CIRCULATION AROUND HURRICANE IRWIN AND TROPICAL STORM JOVA. THE MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES FROM 12N123W TO 08N138W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N138W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 09N90W TO 06N99W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 100W AND WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 09N101W TO 15N101W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.