000 FZPN03 KNHC 080306 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 08. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 09. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 10. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.1N 121.3W 980 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 08 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.7N 121.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 16.5N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM JOVA NEAR 15.3N 110.6W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 08 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.4N 109.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...75 NM NW QUADRANT AND 105 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 17.4N 107.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...90 NM NW QUADRANT AND 135 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 19.0N 105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 21.5N 103.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 114W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 100W AND 114W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL. .GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N TO 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .N OF 20N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. FROM 20N TO 26N W OF 120W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. N OF 26N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 24N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N AND W OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 20N106W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. FROM 15N TO 25N W OF 130W AND FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N95.5W 1008 MB. FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 105W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 11N96W 1007 MB. FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 11.5N95.5W 1007 MB. FROM 06N TO 11.5N E OF 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT TO 30 KT WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF LOW CENTER. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SAT OCT 08... .HURRICANE IRWIN...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45-60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120-180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. .TROPICAL STORM JOVA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180-240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 10N86W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11N95.5W TO 16N107W WHERE THERE IS A BREAK IN THE TROUGH DUE TO THE CIRCULATION AROUND HURRICANE IRWIN AND TROPICAL STORM JOVA. THE MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES FROM 12N124W TO 08N135W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N135W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT OF LOW CENTER AND FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 127W AND 131W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.