000 FZPN03 KNHC 071600 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 07. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 08. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 09. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 13.9N 120.4W 980 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.6N 120.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.7N 119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.9N 117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 16.5N 109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM JOVA NEAR 13.7N 110.2W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 07 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 15.2N 110.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.6N 109.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...105 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 18.2N 107.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 20.5N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNING...WITHIN 480 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 05N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING S AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 540 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MERGING SE AND NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 270 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL. .GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 267N TO 30N W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .N OF 24N E OF 118W TO BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 20N TO 26N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18N TO 22N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 16N W OF 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY W TO NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 08N W OF 105W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY W TO NW SWELL. .LOW PRES 11N94W 1008 MB. FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 105W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 11N97W 1008 MB. FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 10N97W 1007 MB. FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC FRI OCT 07... .HURRICANE IRWIN...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. .TROPICAL STORM JOVA...NUMEROUS STRONG 150 NM OVER CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W. THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS WAS ANALYZED FROM 10N85W TO 11N94W TO 14N104W. THE MONSOON TROUGH HAS THEN BROKEN DOWN AS A RESULT OF THE CIRCULATION AROUND HURRICANE IRWIN AND TROPICAL STORM JOVA...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N123W TO 07N136W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N136W TO BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED WITHIN 210 NM AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 96W. $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.