000
FZPN03 KNHC 070936
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 13.7N 119.8W 990 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 07 
MOVING W NW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.4N 120.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.4N 119.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 29 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 15.0N 116.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 16.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JOVA NEAR 13.4N 109.5W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...60 NM NW QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA NEAR 14.9N 110.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.6N 109.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 105 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 18.0N 107.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA INLAND NEAR 20.5N 105.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 330 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 125W AND 131W S TO SW WINDS 20 
KT EXCEPT N TO NE WINDS N OF 10N. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING S AND 
NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 540 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 128W AND 133W S TO 
SW WINDS 20 KT EXCEPT N TO NE WINDS N OF 11N. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
MERGING SE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 124W 
AND 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING SE AND 
NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 270 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 127W AND 134W NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 123W 
AND 133W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 116W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 104W AND 
117W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 103W AND 
116W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 27N TO 30N W TO NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.N OF 25N E OF 117W TO BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. FROM 22N TO 28N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 26N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N W OF 100W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY W TO NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 21N W OF 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 110W FROM 14N TO 26N WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY W TO NW SWELL.

.WITHIN 45 NM OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES 11N93W 1008 MB. FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 11N95W 1008 MB. FROM 07N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 99W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 11N97W 1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0815 UTC FRI OCT 07...
.HURRICANE IRWIN...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER. 

.TROPICAL STORM JOVA...NUMEROUS STRONG 150 NM EXCEPT 30 NM NE 
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 330 NM 
EXCEPT 150 NM NE QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF MEXICAN 
COAST S OF 20N W OF 97W AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF MEXICAN AND 
GUATEMALAN COAST FROM 90W TO 94W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 
15N127W TO 09N120W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N85W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11N93W 
TO 14N103W AND RESUMES FROM 12N123W TO 07N135W TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
LOW PRES NEAR 11N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 
NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.