000
FZPN03 KNHC 070325
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JOVA NEAR 13.0N 108.3W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 
07 MOVING W NW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOVA NEAR 14.8N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 16.6N 109.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 18.0N 108.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOVA NEAR 20.0N 106.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA INLAND NEAR 21.5N
104.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN NEAR 13.4N 119.0W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 
07 MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 19 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 13.7N 119.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.1N 119.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.5N 119.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 14.5N 117.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 15.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IRWIN NEAR 16.5N 110.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 103W AND 115W...AND WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 103W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOVA WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 14 FT...HIGHEST S CENTRAL PORTION. N OF 07N BETWEEN 100W AND 
105W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 115W AND 120W AND FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W 
S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 13N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 115W AND 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 33 KT 
WITHIN 120 NM OF JOVA. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL 
EXCEPT 10 TO 12 FT WITHIN 120 NM OF JOVA. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
10N TO 22N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. FROM 09N TO 18N W OF 130W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 121W AND 130W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 121W 
AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IRWIN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE 
FROM 07N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W AND WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 14.5N TO 22N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 
125W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.

.DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 28N114W TO 26N122W TO 24N130W. N OF 
28N WITHIN 120 NM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 25N W OF 117W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 14 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 29N129W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 19N BETWEEN W 
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND 120W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. FROM 19N TO 24N W OF 
120W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL. N OF 24N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 22N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. N OF 22N W OF 110W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 15N94.5W TO 
14N96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES 10N92.5W 1008 MB. S OF 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 103W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 10N94W 1008 MB. FROM 06N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 10N96W 1008 MB. FROM 06N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 80W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW 
SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 26N TO 30N NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC FRI OCT 07...
.TROPICAL STORM JOVA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180-240 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL STORM IRWIN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 180-240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 09N85W TO LOW PRES 10N93W 1008 MB TO 
14N103W THEN RESUMES NEAR 11N124W TO 07N134W TO 08N140W. NO ITCZ 
IS NOTED. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 08N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 95W AND 99W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S AND 
120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 126W AND 134W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.