000
FZPN03 KNHC 300330
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 1.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 2.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 21.9N 120.8W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
30 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180
NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL HILARY POST TROP/REMNT LOW NEAR 
23.2N 121.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL HILARY POST TROP/REMNT LOW NEAR 
23.3N 123.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL HILARY POST TROP/REMNT LOW NEAR 
23.0N 124.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 
130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN BROAD MIX OF 
SWELLS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
17N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN 
BROAD MIX OF SWELLS.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM N W QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT.  

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N132W 1010 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 20N W OF 130W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N131W 1010 MB. WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1010 MB. WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.COLD FRONT 30N137W TO 28N140W. N OF 20N W OF 130W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N131W TO 25N140W. NW OF FRONT 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N127W TO 24N140W. NW OF FRONT 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 
96W N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF LINE 16N95W TO 14.5N95W TO 13N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0245 UTC FRI SEP 30...

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT OF TROPICAL 
STORM HILARY. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 5N TO 09N E OF 95W AS A 
RESULT OF WIND SPEED CONVERGENCE. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN NW THROUGH 
CENTRAL AMERICA ENTERING THE E PACIFIC NEAR 10N86W TO 12N103W TO 
09N108W TO 12N120W TO 10N135W...THEN ITCZ FROM 10N135W TO BEYOND 
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 
115W AND 122W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS W 
OF 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.