000
FZPN03 KNHC 290319
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU SEP 29 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 19.6N 119.3W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
29 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 21.6N 120.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 23.5N 
121.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 24.0N 
123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 23.5N 
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM NW QUADRANT AND 180 
NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE N OF 09N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELLS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
BROAD MIX OF SWELLS.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES   
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N FROM 114W 
TO 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN BROAD MIX OF 
SWELLS. 

.LOW PRES AT 11N133W 1010 MB. WITHIN 60 NM NW OF CENTER WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 19N W OF 130W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N132W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N W OF 
130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N130W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT. 

.N OF 19N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN NW 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N137W TO 28N140W. N OF 19N W OF 
30W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N131W TO 26N140W. NW OF FRONT 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0245 UTC THU SEP 29...
.TROPICAL STORM HILARY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN ACROSS S 
NICARAGUA ENTERING THE E PACIFIC NEAR 12N86W EXTENDING W TO 
10N108W WHERE IT ENDS. THERE IS NO ITCZ OR MONSOON TROUGH FROM 
108W TO 135W AS A RESULT OF THE CIRCULATIONS AROUND HURRICANE 
HILLARY AND A SMALL LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N133W. THE ITCZ 
STARTS NEAR 10N135W AND EXTENDS W OF 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 45 NM OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 135W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.