000
FZPN03 KNHC 282159
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED SEP 28 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.0N 118.9W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 28
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 19.8N 119.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 21.0N 120.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 23.2N 
121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 24.5N 
123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 23.5N 
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM NW QUADRANT AND 210 
NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
ELSEWHERE N OF 09N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELLS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N 
BETWEEN 112W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
BROAD MIX OF SWELLS.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES   
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N FROM 112W 
TO 128W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN BROAD MIX OF 
SWELLS. 

.LOW PRES AT 10N132W 1010 MB. WITHIN 60 NM NW OF CENTER WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 19N W OF 130W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N132W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 19N W OF 
130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES NEAR 11N130W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FROM 10N TO 19N W OF 130W  
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.N OF 19N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN NW 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 19N W OF 30W AND SE OF LINE 30N135W TO 
26N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N132W TO 26N140W. NW OF FRONT 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED SEP 28...
.HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN ACROSS N COSTA 
RICA ENTERING THE E PACIFIC NEAR 10.5N85W EXTENDING W TO 
10.5N94W TO 10N100W TO WHERE IT ENDS NEAR 10N107W. THERE IS NO 
ITCZ OR MONSOON TROUGH FROM 107W TO 135W AS A RESULT OF THE 
CIRCULATIONS AROUND HURRICANE HILLARY AND A SMALL LOW PRESSURE 
CENTER NEAR 11N132W. THE ITCZ STARTS NEAR 10N135W AND EXTENDS W 
OF 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 100W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM N AND 45 NM S OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 
135W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.