000
FZPN03 KNHC 280949
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED SEP 28 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.7N 118.1W 975 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 28
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT... 
220 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 19.6N 118.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILARY NEAR 22.0N 119.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...45 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 24.0N
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 25.0N
120.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 25.0N
121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE...180 NM SE...150 
NM SW AND 330 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  
WITHIN 480 NM NE...420 NM SE...500 NM SW AND 540 NM NW QUADRANTS 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 27N BETWEEN 109W AND 128W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS TO 8 FT IN BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM 
NE...180 NM SE...150 NM SW AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER  
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 360 NM NE...240 NM SE...420 NM SW AND 
390 NM NW QUADRANTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NW 
AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW 
AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES AT 10.5N131.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 240 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
10N TO 19N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N131W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. FROM 
11N TO 15N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N130W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 10N 
TO20N W OF 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL. 

.NW OF LINE 30N129W TO 27N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
9 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH HILARY...N OF LINE 
28N118W TO 15N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MERGING NW AND SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N138W TO 28N140W. NW OF FRONT 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT AS NOTED 
WITH HILARY...N OF 15N BETWEEN 114W AND 129W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. CONFUSED SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0730 UTC WED SEP 28...
.HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM PANAMA NW TO NEAR 11N86W TO 12N93W 
TO 11N103W TO 13N111W WHERE IT TERMINATES...THEN RESUMES SW OF  
HURRICANE HILARY FROM 12N123W TO LOW PRES 10.5N131.5W 1010 MB TO 
09N134W WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ TO 09N140W. ISOLATED TO 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 180 NM S AND 120 NM N OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 109W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.