000
FZPN03 KNHC 272130
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.1N 117.1W 964 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 27 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM NE 
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE... 
240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.4N 118.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 20.7N 118.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 23.0N 118.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 25.0N
118.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 26.0N 
119.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 330 NM NE...120 NM SE...240 
NM SW AND 330 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER  WINDS TO 33 KT.  WITHIN 
360 NM NE...300 NM SE...270 NM SW AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS  SEAS 
TO 12 FT. FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W  N TO NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 27N BETWEEN 106W AND 
126W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIX OF 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE 
AND SE...120 NM SW AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER  WINDS TO 
33 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE AND SE...360 NM SW AND 390 NM NW 
QUADRANTS SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW... FROM 
09N TO 28N BETWEEN 109W AND 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  
CONFUSED SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER  WINDS TO 33 KT. WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW...FROM 11N TO 24N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIX 
OF SWELL.

.LOW PRES AT 10N130W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 
NM ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N129W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
SE AND 60 NM ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 TO 13 FT.  
FROM 14N TO 20N W OF 134W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N128W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 22N W OF 122W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW AND SE SWELL.

.FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 25N WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. 

.N OF 27N W OF 134W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 22N W OF 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N W OF 123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 11 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC TUE SEP 27...
.HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER IN 
SQUALLS.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N87W TO 10N96W TO 09N106W... THEN 
RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE HILARY FROM 14N120W TO LOW PRES 10N130W 
1009 MB TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM 
OF LOW NEAR 10N130W.

$$
.FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.