000
FZPN03 KNHC 270942
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.6N 115.7W 961 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 27
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM NE
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90
NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.4N 117.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.6N 117.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT 
AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 22.1N 117.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 24.5N
117.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 27.0N
118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE...270 NM SE...210 
NM SW AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
WITHIN 420 NM NE...330 NM SE...270 NM SW AND 540 NM NW QUADRANTS 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 27N BETWEEN 
106W AND 126W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM NE 
AND SE...150 NM SW AND 270 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. WITHIN 330 NM NE...360 NM SE...420 NM SW AND 450 NM NW 
QUADRANTS OF CENTER SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED 
BELOW...FROM 09N TO 28N BETWEEN 109W AND 132W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. CONFUSED SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 300 NM E AND 270 NM W OF CENTER 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW...FROM 11N TO 
24N BETWEEN 110W AND 123W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. CONFUSED SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 126W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 134W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 24N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N128W 1010 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
11N TO 20N W OF 126W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N129W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 134W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N128W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 22N W OF 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW AND SE SWELL.

.FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 91W AND 109W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 25N WITHIN 150 NM OF THE W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO 
N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 121W AND 125W N WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED 
IMMEDIATELY BELOW. 

.WEAK STATIONARY FRONT NEAR 30N140W. NW OF LINE 30N137W TO 
29N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. NW OF LINE 30N130W TO 
27N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW COLD FRONT NW OF AREA. EXCEPT AS NOTED 
WITH HILARY...N OF 20N BETWEEN 119W AND 137W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0730 UTC TUE SEP 27...
.HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER.   

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM EXTREME SW CARIBBEAN W ACROSS 
CENTRAL AMERICA AND ENTERS THE EPAC NEAR 11N86W TO 11.5N97W TO 
10N103W WHERE IT TERMINATES...THEN RESUMES SW OF HURRICANE 
HILARY FROM 11N116W TO LOW PRES 10.5N128W 1010 MB TO 10N136W TO 
09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM 
RADIUS OF 10N128W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.