000 FZPN03 KNHC 270302 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 27. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 28. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 29. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.6N 114.8W 953 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 27 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.2N 116.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 160 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.1N 116.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 160 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 21.7N 116.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 24.0N 117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HILARY NEAR 26.5N 117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 25N BETWEEN 108W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 25N BETWEEN 105W AND 127W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 108W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 127W AND 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 11N129W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. .S OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 108W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .N OF 25N WITHIN 240 NM OF THE W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED IMMEDIATELY BELOW. .WEAK FRONT JUST NW OF AREA. NW OF LINE 30N137W TO 28N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. NW OF LINE 30N132W TO 27N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 118W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MAINLY NW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE SEP 27... .HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN COSTA RICA COAST NEAR 10N85W TO 10N95W TO 12N103W WHERE IT TERMINATES...THEN RESUMES W OF HURRICANE HILARY FROM 14N117W TO A LOW 10N128W 1011 MB TO 10N138W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N138W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N128W. $$ .FORECASTER CAB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.