000 FZPN03 KNHC 260300 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC MON SEP 26 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 26. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 27. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 28. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.9N 111.3W 953 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 26 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.0N 114.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.6N 116.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.6N 116.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 22.5N 116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILARY NEAR 25.5N 116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF HILARY. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN CONFUSED SEAS. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 270 NM NW QUADRANT OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 360 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF HILARY. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 105W AND 118W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN CONFUSED SEAS. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM NW QUADRANT OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 420 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 25N BETWEEN 105W AND 121W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KR. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN CONFUSED SEAS. .N OF 23N E OF 118W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 118W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 123W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 123W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 105W AND 115 WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. FROM 17N TO 26N BETWEEN 115W AND 124W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY NW SWELL. .STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERING JUST NW OF AREA. NW OF LINE 30N135W TO 27N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 12N TO 17N W OF 122W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 17N W OF 128N NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 125W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. S OF 08N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W...AND S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 108W AND 115W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 105W AND S OF 14N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC MON SEP 26... HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 109W AND 112W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 09N100W THEN RESUMES W OF HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 14N113W TO 12N125W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 81W AND 92W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W. $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.