000
FZPN03 KNHC 250945
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 27.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.0N 108.4W 953 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 25
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...90
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.1N 111.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 33 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.3N 114.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 120 NM SE  
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.2N 116.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 20.5N 116.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HILARY NEAR 23.5N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 
NM NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 101W AND 111W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN CONFUSED SEAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 115W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN CONFUSED SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.FROM 25N TO 29N E OF 116W TO W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NW TO N 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN 
115W AND 119W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 117W TO W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N 
TO 25N BETWEEN 107W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL.    
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 120W TO W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N 
TO 25N BETWEEN 106W AND 126W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. 

.FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 130W AND 139W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 86W AND 95W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 04N BETWEEN 102W AND 124W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 17N W OF 126N NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN 81W AND 93W SW WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 14N BETWEEN 103W AND 119W AND S OF 08N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 103W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MERGING 
NW AND SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 16N BETWEEN 104W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL.  

.COLD FRONT MEANDERING JUST NW OF AREA. N OF 29N W OF 138W SW 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0745 UTC SUN SEP 25...

HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 40 NM N 
AND 60 NM S OF CENTER. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 09N90W TO 07N97W THEN 
RESUMES W OF HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 15N110W TO 13N125W TO 11N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM S OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 84W AND 90W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 96W 
AND 98W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.