000
FZPN03 KNHC 240947
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 26.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.1N 105.2W 946 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 24
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT... 
AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.7N 108.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.1N 111.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 105 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.5N 114.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.5N 115.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 21.5N 115.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 200 NM SE AND 120 
NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
WITHIN 200 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
200 NM EXCEPT 120 NM W QUADRANT OF HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 240 
NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.

.FROM 03N TO 11N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. S OF 04N BETWEEN 88W AND 96W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 22N TO 27N E OF 115W TO W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 09N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 107W AND 129W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. S OF LINE 04N124W TO 00N101W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MERGING NW AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 118W TO W COAST OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 13N BETWEEN 
92W AND 119W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MERGING NW 
AND SW SWELL.

.N OF 20N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 126W AND 137W NE WINDS 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 19N TO 24N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 13N TO 17N W OF 
130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NW SWELL AND NE WIND 
WAVES.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 17N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT MEANDERING JUST NW OF AREA. N OF 
29N W OF 134W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT SEP 24...

HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG IN BANDS WITHIN 90 NM N AND 
45 NM S OF CENTER. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 250 NM NW AND 310 NM SW OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM EXTREME SW CARIBBEAN AND ENTERS 
EPAC WATERS NEAR 10.5N86W TO 06N96W WHERE IT TERMINATES...THEN 
RESUMES W OF HILARY NEAR 17N113W TO 11N127W TO 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 04N E OF 86W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 
96W...AND WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.