000
FZPN03 KNHC 222104
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 22 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 15.6N 99.8W 973 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 22 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE 
QUADRANT...55 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 65 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...45 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.5N 102.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.1N 106.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...85 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.0N 109.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  

.N OF 24N E OF 118W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N125W TO 20N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N118W TO 12N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N W OF 136W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2015 UTC THU SEP 22...

HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER OVER N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM OF CENTER OVER S SEMICIRCLE. 

NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 17N104W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 06N93W AND THEN FROM 
15N104W TO 16N110W TO 12N119W TO 12N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 09N113W 
TO 08N120W AND FROM 09N136W TO BEYOND 10N140W.       

$$
.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.